Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Hunger Crisis Worsens, Food System Broken: Oxfam


Hunger Crisis Worsens, Food System Broken: Oxfam: "
By David Brough
LONDON (Reuters) - Food prices could double in the next 20 years and demand will soar as the world struggles to raise output via a failing system, international charity Oxfam said Tuesday, warning of worsening global hunger.
"The food system is pretty well bust in the world," Oxfam Chief Executive Barbara Stocking told reporters, announcing the launch of the Grow campaign as 925 million people go hungry every day.
"All the signs are that the number of people going hungry is going up," Stocking said.
Hunger was increasing due to rising food price inflation and oil price hikes fueled by speculators, scrambles for land and water, and creeping climate change, Oxfam said.
Food prices are forecast to increase by something in the range of 70 to 90 percent in real terms by 2030 before taking into account the effects of climate change, which would roughly double price rises again, Oxfam said. Wheat prices have been largely flat so far in 2011 although they remain more than 70 percent above levels traded a year ago after rising sharply last summer as the worst drought in decades devastated crops in the Black Sea region.
Prices for corn have more than doubled in the last 12 months with global production unable to keep pace with record demand driven partly by the growth of the U.S. ethanol industry.
Oxfam warned that by 2050 demand for food will rise by 70 percent yet the world's capacity to increase production is declining.
YIELD GROWTH FALLING
The average growth rate in agricultural yields has almost halved since 1990 and is set to decline to a fraction of one percent in the next decade while increasing regional and local crises could see the need for food aid double in the next 10 years.
"Now we have entered an age of growing crisis, of shock piled upon shock: vertiginous food price spikes and oil price hikes, devastating weather events, financial meltdowns and global contagion," Oxfam said in a report.
"The world's poorest people, who spend up to 80 percent of their income on food, will be hit hardest."
Entitled "Growing a Better Future: Food Justice in a Resource-Constrained World," the report said: "The scale of the challenge is unprecedented, but so is the prize: a sustainable future in which everyone has enough to eat."
Oxfam believes one way to tame food price inflation is to limit speculation in agricultural commodity futures markets. It also opposed support for using food as a feedstock for biofuels.
"Financial speculation must be regulated, and support dismantled for biofuels that displace food," it said.
Stocking said she favored the introduction by regulators of position limits in agricultural commodities futures trading, noting that financial speculation aggravated price volatility.
French President Nicolas Sarkozy has campaigned for tough measures to limit speculation and is due to use his platform as president of the world's 20 top economies (G20) to push for more regulation this month.
France's top market regulator told Reuters he expects top global economies to agree a framework this year to dampen speculation in commodities.
The Oxfam report said: "The vast imbalance in public investment in agriculture must be righted, redirecting the billions now being plowed into unsustainable industrial farming in rich countries toward meeting the needs of small-scale food producers in developing countries."
GOVERNMENTS TO BLAME
The report said the failure of the food system flowed from failures of government to regulate and to invest, which meant that companies, interest groups and elites had been able to plunder resources.
"Now the major powers, the old and the new, must cooperate, not compete, to share resources, build resilience, and tackle climate change," it said.
"The economic crisis means that we have moved decisively beyond the era of the G8, when a few rich country governments tried to craft global solutions by and for themselves.
"The governments of poorer nations must also have a seat at the table, for they are on the front lines of climate change, where many of the battles -- over land, water, and food -- are being fought."
(Additional reporting by Nigel Hunt; editing by Keiron Henderson)

Sunday, May 15, 2011

Countries That Adopted Facebook Early See Lower Traffic Growth Rates, Occasionally Negative (Eric Eldon/Inside Facebook)

Eric Eldon

Many of the largest, earliest-established countries on Facebook have seen odd traffic fluctuations in the last months, according to our Inside Facebook Gold data. Canada, for example, has gained or lost tens of thousands of users since the middle of last year, and in April lost near half a million users.

But what’s the overall trend? We took a closer look at our historical data to see if larger trends emerge. We graphed the growth rate each month going back to the start of 2008 for five of the first countries to see very broad adoption of Facebook, also including the United States, the United Kingdom, Turkey and Australia.

The results: You can clearly see the overall decline over time, with each of the five falling towards zero. Obviously, percentage gain here can be deceiving because any growth is a lot, proportionally, at the start, but less so as a given country gains. So you’d expect what you see here — sort of. It’s actually surprising to see how many countries maintained growth rates of 5% or more through the middle of last year.

But even if early-adopting countries started losing users, you’d still expect it to not fall below zero given how sticky the site has been with users of varying age, gender, and regional groups. Growth might fall to zero, but why would it go below if half of Facebook users come back every day, as Facebook says?

Except for Turkey, which only has around a third of the country on Facebook, the rest of the countries have roughly half of their populations on Facebook. We’ve previously observed that this is around where a country of any size will stall. The graph here provides further support to that observation.

In these countries, it does appear that recently fewer people come back than had in previous months, without new users making up for the losses. The severity and frequency of the drops appears to have increased starting last July, and the recovery gains have been weaker than in past years had been after drops.

The average decline over months has yet to become negative, though. There are other possible factors at work, too, such as bugs in the Facebook ad tool that we get this data from.

We’ll continue tracking the trends here. For anyone interested in Facebook’s future, whether users, developers, marketers, investors or others, identifying the long-term directions here is crucial for planning how to capitalize on Facebook’s success, or lack thereof.

Friday, May 13, 2011

Coming to a Cornfield Near You: Genetically Induced Drought-Resistance

corn

The U.S. Department of Agriculture is preparing to approve a new strain of corn that has been engineered to thrive in drought


Climate change has yet to diminish crop yields in the U.S. corn belt but scientists expect drought to become more common due to global warming in coming years. That could impact everything from the price of food to the price of fuel planet-wide. As a result, for the last several years agribusiness giants like Monsanto, Pioneer and Syngenta have been pursuing genetic modification to enable the corn plant to thrive even without enough rain. And now the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) is considering approving a new corn hybrid genetically engineered to thrive with less water—the first time such a corn strain would be available.

"Working on something like drought is more complex than introducing a trait like insect resistance," says plant breeder Bob Reiter, vice president of biotechnology at Monsanto, which is seeking approval for the new strain. "We have screened through thousands of genes in the past several years, more than in the entire history for the herbicide-resistant or insect protection."

Monsanto researchers, working with German chemical giant BASF, settled on a gene called "cold shock protein B" that is natively found in the microbe known as Bacillus subtilis, a soil bacteria whose special skill is to shut down, for years if need be, when environmental conditions, such as drought, would otherwise kill it. The new gene won't give that capability to corn but it will help it to maintain normal growth even when provided with less water than normal.

"What it seems to be doing, it's helping the plant basically to maintain more normal metabolic levels in the plant as opposed to trying to shut those processes down understress," Reiter explains. "Next year, in 2012, we will be doing farm trials with farmers to evaluate the gene in different hybrids."

In fact, the new gene will have to work in concert with other introduced genetic packages, such as the genes that make some corn hybrids survive application of glyphosate, the Monsanto-produced pesticide more commonly known as Roundup. "There are 34,000 genes in a corn plant," Reiter says. "Having 10 or 12 or even 15 more express correctly and work in concert, I don't think it's a big challenge."

In field trials in drier regions of the western U.S., the drought-tolerant corn delivered 7 to 10 extra bushels per acre, according to Monsanto and BASF. The USDA estimates that average annual global corn crop losses due to "moderate drought" are 15 percent per year already.

At the same time, human health or environmental impacts remain unknown for this new strain. The U.S. National Research Council found in 2004, however, that no adverse health effects have been found that can be attributed to genetic engineeringdespite American corn consumption rising from 12.9 pounds per capita annually in 1980 to 33 pounds annually by 2008 while the portion of the crop genetically engineered rose from zero to 80 percent over the same period. The USDA will collect public comments on the proposal to allow wider use of such corn until July 11 and then make its final decision.

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Wednesday, May 11, 2011

Exclusive Excerpt: Sex, Drugs and Sea Slime



Among the organisms of the oceans that are armed and dangerous, there is one elite group of jetsetters that grow fast and are blessed with brains, looks, and a talent for disguise. Though most don’t live long, they can react with lightning-quick speed and deploy amazing defensive countermeasures. They are the stars of film and literature, playing oversized and aggressive monsters with a killer appetite. Most of the oceans’ cephalopods, however, are not out for a fight; when trouble calls, the majority of squids, cuttlefishes, and octopuses prefer to hide or run away. They are also much stranger in fact than in fiction, with truly astonishing capabilities and many bizarre characteristics. Their diverse ranks have come a long way from their distant and rather simple cousin, the clam.

Ellen Prager


The former chief scientist at the world’s only undersea research station, Ellen Prager is a consultant and freelance writer who has authored several books, including her latest, Sex, Drugs and Sea Slime. Look for Prager on her soon-to-be-announced speaking tour sponsored by Microsoft Research Connections.

See images from the book and hear more about the strange creatures of the oceans in a photo gallery and Q&A with the author.


More than eight hundred species of cephalopods reside within the world’s oceans and include squids, octopuses, cuttlefishes, the nautilus, and a unique deep-sea crossover — the vampire squid. They are all mollusks, with a heredity distantly connected to shellfish such as clams, oysters, and snails. Oddly, what was once a foot evolved to become mostly a head along with a bevy of arms, and all but the nautilus lost their protective outer shells.

Cephalopods grow fast and most reach maturity within two years. To fuel their rapid growth, most squids, octopuses, and cuttlefishes are voracious and well-equipped hunters, feeding on live prey, such as crustaceans, fishes, shellfish, and other cephalopods. They have eight muscular, suckered arms, which they use to grab and immobilize their victims. Squids and cuttlefishes also have two longer, elastic tentacles that may be tipped with hooked clubs and can be deployed in an instant to lash out at potential victims, aka food. Suckers on a squid’s tentacles may be teethed for better gripping. Because cephalopods have relatively small mouths, these hunters must chop, drill, or soften up their catch before swallowing. To do this, they often use their hard, parrot-like beaks, which can tear apart flesh and crush bone. Within their mouths, they also have rasping tongues lined with small teeth, which some octopuses use to drill through their prey’s outer shell or exoskeleton. And cephalopods have acidic, venomous spit. Their salivary glands produce digestive enzymes and toxins, the latter of which vary in potency with species. The saliva of the small blue-ringed octopus contains one of the deadliest venoms on the planet. These potential “death spitters,” however, seem to be rather timid creatures and use their potent saliva mainly for feeding. A cephalopod’s spit is typically used to paralyze prey. When feasting on crabs, an octopus wields its spew with purpose. It drills a small hole into a crab’s carapace and then injects saliva to destroy its prey’s attachment muscles and begin the digestion process. And being picky, fastidious eaters, octopuses make the most of each meal. Piles of disarticulated shells or crustacean carapaces just outside an octopus’s lair are often picked clean of meat.



Most cephalopods use their excellent vision to hunt down their prey, but they are also able to feel out their victims or seek them through “smell” or chemical cues in the water. Some are also able to sense vibrations produced by an organism’s movements. Once prey is located, cephalopods are well outfitted for the chase. In the open ocean, a squid can outswim and outmaneuver many other animals. Its streamlined, torpedo-shaped body includes a jet-propulsion system that uses muscular contractions to force water into its mantle or bag-like body and out through a maneuverable pipe-like siphon, enabling the squid to become an agile, speedy jetfighter or stealthy hovercraft. Fins along its sides or rear are used for steering and stability, and sometimes for swimming. And when they go from hunter to huntee, some species of squid can even rocket out of the water and glide for up to 50 meters (164 feet) — though Hollywood has yet to produce Attack of the Killer Flying Squid. Though probably not as fast or as agile as squids, many cuttlefishes and octopuses also rely on in-body jet packs for swimming. In contrast, deep-water octopuses use fins for slow-motion sculling, and have webbing between their arms that acts like a parachute or sail. Octopuses that live on the bottom are extremely mobile creatures as well, which can crawl over just about any obstacle, can walk on their arms if need be, and are expert contortionists, able to squeeze through incredibly small openings while on the hunt or to avoid predators.

Hunting strategies vary among the cephalopods. An octopus may grab or pounce on its prey and then drag it back to its lair for stockpiling. As tactile feeders, they may poke and prod looking for food, or simply spread their arms or webbing out and eat whatever they find and capture. Other cephalopods, such as the squids, stealthily stalk their prey or choose a more direct approach and attack head-on, like a ballistic missile strike. With excellent skills at camouflage and mimicry, some of this group may also lure in unsuspecting prey. One deep-sea octopus has special suckers along the length of its arms that emit blue-green light. They may glow dimly or blink on and off, and are thought to attract potential quarry. Beneath its webbed arms, this octopus also produces mucus (seems like under the sea almost everyone does), which may ensnare small crustaceans that drift or swim into it, like a slimy net.

While on the hunt, cephalopods must always be wary of predators. Having lost the protection of an outer shell, their naked, soft bodies of- fer energy-rich, enticing meals. Just about every type of marine carnivore eats cephalopods, including whales, dolphins, seals, seabirds, and fishes such as the billfishes, tuna, groupers, and sharks. Even the cephalopods eat cephalopods.

To avoid the oceans’ hungry masses, cephalopods have developed an extraordinary array of defenses. Roger Hanlon of the Marine Biological Laboratory in Woods Hole, Massachusetts, has been studying cephalopods for decades. He discovered that when confronted, their first line of defense is camouflage, and that they are the fastest, best-equipped animals on the planet when it comes to hiding in plain sight. Occasionally, even he has been fooled by their amazing ability to disappear into their surroundings. Cephalopods are able to quickly and precisely take on the appearance of the bottom and become very uncephalopod-like. They can match the brightness, color, pattern, and texture of the seafloor in seconds, create optical illusions, and change the shape of their bodies to mimic in 3-D. Much of their success as disguise artists lies in their sophisticated “smart” skin.

Scattered throughout a cephalopod’s skin are thousands of small color organs called chromatophores, essentially little muscular, elastic sacs containing pigment. When muscular contractions stretch these pigment sacs into flat disks, a cephalopod’s skin is visibly colored or patterned. Individual or groups of chromatophores can be contracted at a time, creating an astonishing assortment of hues and designs. The cephalopods’ prowess as dress designers is not only impressive — it is also fast. In the blink of the eye, they may become striped, polka-dotted, or covered in psychedelic waves of color. An octopus may appear as if painted ruby red one minute and within seconds go ghostly pale or become a dull, mottled brown that replicates the underlying rock or sand bottom. The blue-ringed octopus can cause its namesake circular markings to flash brightly, and many cephalopods can create waves of color that wash over their bodies like a passing cloud. They can also produce patterns that disrupt the outlines of their bodies so that they become nearly unrecognizable. Surprisingly, their chromatophores contain only red, orange, yellow, black, or brown pigments, yet cephalopods exhibit a full rainbow of colors. The mystery of how they do this was solved when scientists discovered that they also have reflecting cells in their skin that act like mirrors or prisms. These iridophores and protein-based leucophores are used in combination with their chromatophores to create a wide variety of striking colors that include vibrant blues, purples, greens, and silver. How cephalopods respond so quickly and create so many patterns is, however, about more than just the color of their skin.

An intricate nervous system runs throughout a cephalopod’s epidermis, connecting its colored pigment organs and reflector cells to its relatively large brain and complex eyes. They are, in fact, the brainiest of all invertebrates, having the largest of the group along with especially well developed eyes. Hanlon’s research team has discovered that cephalopods use their exceptional vision as their primary means of detecting the brightness and patterns within their surroundings, which they then quickly replicate for camouflage. But, ironically, Hanlon’s team also found that most, if not all, cephalopods are color-blind. How then do they perfectly match the color of their surroundings? He suspects that the cephalopods’ skin has some sort of color-sensing capability, but what it is and how it works remain unknown.

As true masters of disguise, octopuses and cuttlefishes can also change the texture of their skin, creating bumps, ridges, or algae-like frills; this too appears to be a vision-based skill. Posing perfectly still or moving in an uncephalopod-like manner, they can imitate their surroundings in 3-D, becoming part of a rock, hiding among seaweed, or “impersonating” another organism. Octopuses have been seen to change their bodies to look and move like a flounder, a sea snake, or a drifting tumbleweed of algae. By hovering motionless and pointing their arms upward, a squid can be- come nearly unrecognizable within a stand of algae. Within the animal kingdom, the cephalopods’ rapid camouflage capabilities are simply the uncontested best. Even the iconic chameleons cannot match their speed or capabilities as quick-change artists.

Some cephalopods also have an illuminating means of camouflage. Using photophores or light organs on their undersides, squids can produce light that matches the radiance downwelling from above. This counter-illumination renders them invisible to predators looking up from below.
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Tuesday, May 10, 2011

The Future Of Salt And Sugar Is Being Engineered In A PepsiCo Lab

The Future Of Salt And Sugar Is Being Engineered In A PepsiCo Lab: "


The preferred way to think about the intersection of science and food lately is like this or this, when the reality is more like what’s going on deep inside of PepsiCo, the largest food company in America.

The mission? To basically reinvent the way we taste food, with chemistry, biology, and even psychology. John Seabrook’s amazing in-depth Pepsi profile in the New Yorker looks at the way Pepsi’s trying to offer healthier food (not because they care about you, per se, but because healthier food is a huge, explosive market segment) while maintaining the indulgent tastes people love. Three interesting things make an appearance in the course of the piece:

• Pepsi’s custom-designed a new type of type salt – “15 micron salt” – whose molecular structure is designed expressly to taste saltier (maintaining the “taste curve”), allowing Pepsi to douse Lay’s potato chips with less sodium, while delivering the same salty kick. (Fun fact: You only taste about 20-25 per cent of the salt on the chips. And no one knows how salt really works.) It’s going to show up on Lay’s in 2012.

• Pepsi’s next major cola product looks to be a still-secret “mid-calorie” soda, with 60 per cent less sugar than a regular can of Pepsi, but that still tastes exactly the same as the real thing. The secret? Flavour enhancements. “Biotech products that are not sweet themselves, but increase the intensity of sweeteners,” so it tastes like real sugar.

• They’ve got a robot with genetically engineered tastebuds – it can taste sweet, sour, bitter and umami, though not salt – which is expressly designed to taste hundreds of thousands of compounds in their search for “the holy grail, a natural zero-calorie sweetener that tastes exactly like sugar”. Before the robot honed in on things that tasted good to humans, narrowing down the field for human tasters, real people had to do all the work-and Pepsi has looked into tasting everything from beetles to bee larvae.

There’s way more in the piece, so do check it out. (Related the serious science behind the Taco Bell drive-thru.) [New Yorker, Image CC licensed, Kevin Dooley/Flickr]

Saturday, May 7, 2011

Nuclear Fusion In Four Years? Amazon's Jeff Bezos Is Betting On It

the sun

Ethonomic Indicator of the Day: 1,000 liters--the equivalent amount of gas you would need to get the nuclear fusion power of one liter of seawater.
Nuclear power is having a bit of a low moment these days. But that's just because we don't know how to do it right, the way the sun does. General Fusion--a startup that just announced that Amazon.com billionaire Jeff Bezos is providing financial backing as part of a $19.5 million funding round--claims it's going to solve the nuclear problem by creating clean, harmless nuclear power from water.
You read that correctly--Bezos is betting on nuclear fusion, the holy
grail of nuclear nerds everywhere. Today's nuclear plants generate power
from fission, a process that splits atoms to release energy as heat. The simple version of the nuclear fusion process--which is what happens on the sun--goes something
like this: isotopes of hydrogen atoms fuse together to make helium. The reaction
releases incredibly large amounts of heat, which is used to power steam turbines.
The amount of hydrogen isotopes found in one liter of water could generate the power of 1,000 liters of gasoline. Some of the hydrogen isotopes for the process can be found in seawater, and others can be found in lithium. This means that
nuclear fusion should be able to provide virtually unlimited amounts of clean
energy (according to General Fusion, we have enough lithium for 23,000 years of fusion energy). There is also no risk of meltdown or production of long-lived nuclear waste. In other words, there will never be a nuclear fusion Fukushima disaster.

In the past, no one has been able to create a controlled fusion reaction that creates more energy than was used to start it. So General Fusion certainly sounds a little crazy in saying that it can. But the company is confident, claiming that it will have a full-scale proof-of-concept fusion generator within four years. The key, according to General Fusion, is its Magnetized Target Fusion technology, which traps plasma in a magnetic field and then compresses it to high temperatures and density.
If the plan works, General Fusion's nuclear plants could be cost-competitive with the capital and operating costs of today's coal plants. It all sounds a little too good to be true: scalable, ultra-safe, reasonably priced, and unlimited nuclear power? It's the kind of breakthrough that really gets a tech billionaire's heart pumping--but we'll have to wait four years to see if General Fusion can actually save us from our energy woes.
[Photo by NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center]

Reach Ariel Schwartz via Twitter or email.

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Thursday, May 5, 2011

Evidence suggests that caffeine is a healthful antioxidant


The researchers describe evidence that coffee is one of the richest sources of healthful antioxidants in the average person’s diet. Some of the newest research points to caffeine (also present in tea, cocoa, and other foods) as the source of powerful antioxidant effects that may help protect people from Alzheimer’s and other diseases.An in-depth analysis of how the caffeine in coffee, tea, and other foods seems to protect against conditions such as Alzheimer’s disease and heart disease at the most fundamental levels has been reported by researchers at Universidad Autonoma Metropolitana-Iztapalapa in Mexico.
However, scientists know little about exactly how caffeine works in scavenging free radicals that have damaging effects in the body. And those few studies sometimes have reached contradictory conclusions. So the researchers have developed detailed theoretical calculations on caffeine’s interactions with free radicals.
Their theoretical conclusions are consistent with results that other scientists have reported from animal and other experiments, supporting the hypothesis that caffeine is a source of healthful antioxidant activity in coffee.
Jorge Rafael León-Carmona, Annia Galano, Is Caffeine a Good Scavenger of Oxygenated Free Radicals? The Journal of Physical Chemistry B, 2011; 115 (15): 4538 DOI: 10.1021/jp201383y
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